June 19, 2017

According to BoatUS, damage from hurricanes is a leading cause for boat insurance claims. So each summer, the national advocacy, services and safety group anxiously awaits predictions, from a number of highly qualified experts with supercomputers, as to how many tropical storms and hurricanes will form in the Atlantic.

With most 2017 storm forecasts now predicting average to above-average storm activity for the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season (June 1 – November 30), just how accurate are these predictions, and do boaters need to adjust their hurricane prep plans this year?

Bottom numbers indicate how many hurricanes were forecast for each year. Red icons above the line indicate how many more hurricanes occurred than predicted. Blue icons below the line indicate how many fewer hurricanes occurred than predicted.
Hurricanes 2
The BoatUS Seaworthy Program, which helps BoatUS members avoid injuries and boat damage by analyzing insurance claims data and publishing its findings in BoatUS Magazine, compared over two decades of storm predictions from one of the better-known hurricane-season forecasts from Colorado State University’s Philip Klotzbach and the late Bill Gray. Said Seaworthy Director Charles Fort, “Our mission was not to judge the forecasters but to find out how much confidence we should have in the hurricane-season predictions and what it means to boaters,” said Fort.

After comparing annual predictions to actual weather, Seaworthy discovered that out of 22 years of hurricane season activity forecasts, only one was 100 percent accurate. In some years, there were up to eight more storms than predicted (click here for chart with data).

Boaters often misinterpret what the forecasters try to do, says Fort. “Early season hurricane predictions don’t attempt to forecast the percentage of storms that will come ashore or which coastal locations will be in the crosshair.”
BoatUS members can get public advisories from the National Hurricane Center as they are issued, as well as detailed maps of the forecast track, wind bands and wind field for each named storm.


The takeaway? “Weather forecasting is tricky business,” added Fort. “Despite what forecasters may predict, a boater’s mantra should be hope for the best but prepare for the worst. Have a well-thought-out hurricane plan, and prepare your boat as best as possible. It could mean the difference between an easy recovery after a storm or a complete loss.”

Free hurricane-planning help is available online at www.BoatUS.com/hurricanes.

Marine Products

  • Prev
All sailors need wind information. The SailTimer app on iOS (and soon on Android) can provide a ...
Almost every country requires a sound signal appliance for vessels up to 39'. They don't comment, ...
Yamaha two-stroke outboards are renowned for long service lives. Owners wanting to protect them ...
AISNet+ AIS Base Station Provides AIS Connectivity for ports and offices with new simple ...
Hot water on board a boat is no longer an unaffordable luxury. Offered in a wide range of ...
B&G, the world’s leading sailing navigation and instrument specialist, has announced the ...
Blue Guard Innovations has announced the general availability of the BG-One, a patent-pending ...
ASA Electronics has updated our line of JENSEN televisions with the JTV1917DVDC, a 19-inch LCD TV ...
To extend the range of a yacht or ship equipped with a Torqeedo Deep Blue Hybrid electric ...
Aurora Marine’s latest discovery, CANVAS SHIELD with DRYKON is a waterproofing spray that ...

ALBIN MAKES ON BOARD HOT WATER AN AFFORDABLE LUXURY

Albin Pump

Hot water on board a boat is no longer an unaffordable luxury. Offered in a wide range of capacities and configurations, Albin Pump Marine's efficient Premium Water Heaters are engineered to ensure the highest water quality in a rugged, long-lasting marine housing.

Available in 120V or 230V, both drawing 850W, Premium Water Heaters run off AC current from shore power or a generator, or the engine's coolant exchanger. They heat quickly and efficiently. Sized to fit most installation spaces, they're direct replacements for common Isotemp models. READ MORE

 

 

 

People

People
  • Prev
“The wind is coming up. Tell the boys they can commence with the race.” Fittingly, these would be ...
BRP, a world leader in powersports, has announced that Tracy Crocker has been appointed to the ...
CMP has announced that Gerald Dyck has joined the firm to further enhance their growing portfolio ...
Lars Ljungström has been appointed to vice president of finance and chief financial officer (CFO) ...
John Alexander Roy passed away quietly at home on August 12 after a short battle with cancer. He ...
Torqeedohas announced that Greg Jung has been appointed vice president of marketing. In ...

CANADIAN BOATING WRITER JONATHAN LEE HOSPITALIZED

Jonathan LeeWe were saddened last week to learn that well-known Canadian boating writer Jonathan Lee has been hospitalized following a severe stroke. The former editor of Boatguide, Boating Business and Ports Cruising Guides remains in critical care at Hamilton General Hospital, where it is hoped he will ultimately make a full recovery. Industry colleagues may send cards care of the Hamilton General Hospital stroke unit. In lieu of flowers, donations on Jonathan’s behalf to the Heart and Stroke Foundation would be appreciated. READ MORE